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January 14, 2009

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Megan

I miss Dave, too. I also miss their old product line-up. Their pita wraps were yummy and their limited-time sandwiches used to be much better. Wendy's is still good, but it's not as special as it used to be. And let's bring back that $2.99 combo!

Russ Tate

Neal, it's the story behind those 2007 numbers that counts. Actually, I think Dave would be rather appalled at the pain behind them for Wendy's and his family. Here's what Dave's daughter Pam had to say after After Triarc (owner of Arby's) finally succeeded in buying the company in 2008:

"It's a very sad day for Wendy's, and our family. We just didn't think this would be the outcome," said Farber, 53.
If her father were alive to hear news of the buyout, "he would not be amused," she said. Farber said she had just gotten off the phone with her sister Wendy, 46, the company's namesake.
"She's feeling horrible. She just is devastated," Farber said.

Prior to the sale, Wendy's had been struggling mightily to actually hold on the the number 3 spot they attained with Dave on camera and they have been ever since. Regardless of the numbers and a turnaround plan initiated in early '07, they have not been able to define or differentiate themselves in the market and are going backwards. In fact, 1st Q earnings in 2008 were down 72% to $4.1 million or 5 cents a share versus $14.1 million or 15 cents a share in March ,07. Add to that rebellions of the redhead masses against their last ad campaign, franchisee discord and lawsuits and, most recently, the apparent failure of their second foray into breakfast and you have a brand with big problems. Pretty soon big regional players like Carl's Jr and Jack In The Box will be bumping them down the list to #5, and they know it.

Of course, it's impossible to say that they would be any better off if Dave were still alive, involved and on TV. However, when he was involved and on TV, over 90% of Americans knew who he was and knew exactly what Wendy's was and what it promised and delivered as a brand. Since then, they have positioned, repositioned and positioned again and, other than the logo, nobody really knows them anymore. Like I said, I like the new commercials, but I think you could replace the Wendy's logo with BK's, change a few words and the spots would work for them too. The difference is, BK has figured out who they are, McDonald's has pretty much always known, and both appear to be well-positioned to weather the economy, continue to do well and stay on top. I like Wendy's. I still miss Dave!

RLT

Neal

Although I have to say you are dead on about your wife!

Neal

Bad ads or not I'm sure Dave would love the current sales volume! Don't forget he sold out long before he died.

2007 Systemwide Sales

Rank Chain Sales ($Mil)
1 McDonald’s $28,666.1
2 Burger King (U.S. & Canada) $8,781.0
3 Wendy’s1 $7,956.0
4 Sonic Drive-In $3,608.8
5 Jack in the Box1 $2,975.0
6 Dairy Queen $2,500.0
7 Hardee’s $1,802.5
8 Carl’s Jr. $1,448.7
9 Whataburger $1,100.6
10 Steak ‘n Shake1 $740.0
11 Checkers Drive-In/Rally’s $649.0
12 Culver’s $590.0
13 White Castle $539.9
14 Krystal $440.6
15 In-N-Out Burger1 $400.0
16 Fuddruckers $320.0

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